The model is leaning Pittsburgh's way despite the Texans entering this game favored on the road. The Steelers cover in well over 50% of simulations and win 49% of the time, returning value at +130 odds on the money line. The total of 38.5 is the lowest of the entire wild card slate, and the model has the Over hitting in 55% of simulations.

Teams that play the Rams are usually airing it out: Opposing offenses average 34.9 pass attempts per game, sixth-highest in the NFL. So, on average, opposing teams are clearing this number against the Rams.