That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, ...
According to pollster Nate Silver 's forecast, Vice President Kamala Harris now has a 50 percent chance of winning the Electoral College to former President Donald Trump 's 49.6 percent. It also notes ...
Silver and FiveThirtyEight’s forecasts estimate the probability of either candidate winning, and are separate from polls, which estimate how much of the vote each candidate will get—but many ...
Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 - Election Day - millions more will join them. Their votes this year will matter ...
Despite pulling into the lead in two recent polls, Kari Lake still trails Ruben Gallego in polling averages and betting odds.
The presidency and House are toss-ups, and the GOP is likely to win the Senate. Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 — ...
ToplineThe swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is effectively tied, with ...